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The sounds of records can be heard breaking all over markets right now, with the S&P 500, oil prices, and European government bonds all shaking up what are hardly lazy summer days. The S&P 500 logged its best close since July 22 on Tuesday and is from its 2,130.82 record, set May 21 last year. Buy the breakout, or short the upper end of a summer trading range? CrackedMarket’s Jani Ziedins asks and answers. The fact the market ran out of steam late in the day on Tuesday was a “big red flag for bulls,” he says.
It’s a familiar refrain. For the bulls to get comfy, the S&P 500 needs to hold above 2,100 for the rest of this week.
But if it stumbles, then the bears are in the driver’s seat, he says. Merrill Lynch had a bit more to say on the subject. If the stock market seems a grind, which it has been, then feast your eyes on commodities this morning.
Crude is aiming to impress again Wednesday, with WTI atop $51 a barrel and Brent above $52 a barrel this morning. “The fifty handle to prices came quickly and for now looks here to stay,” said OM Financial’s Stuart Ive overnight. But watch for U.S. Inventory data later, which could impact whether or not oil prices decide to keep forging ahead.
For our call of the day, we are circling back to another commodity, which is getting a few excited out there, as it rides the coattails of higher gold prices. Key market gauges Stocks are pointing to a modestly higher start for Wall Street, with Dow and S&P futures in the black. In, China stocks retreated as investors braced for data, but the Nikkei pushed up 0.9%. European stocks are.
The has shifted a little lower, and the British pound, which has been whipped around by Brexit polls, is up a bit against the buck. Gold is pushing higher, along with other precious and base metals. Speaking of Brexit, here’s our on the June 23 referendum. Brent and WTI oil prices are. The call Hi-yo, silver!
Is calling for silver to reach $20 an ounce by year’s end, a 28% gain from current levels. But he says softness and pullbacks should be expected. Silver’s trajectory depends a fair bit on how many more interest-rate hikes are coming this year from the U.S., Krauth says. Rising interest rates boost the dollar, but weigh on precious metals denominated in dollars. Silver bullet? Meanwhile, Profit Confidential says rising demand and a struggling supply side are the perfect recipe for higher silver prices ahead.
But research analyst Moe Zulfiqar, who wrote about how a this year, isn’t advising a headlong dive into silver bullion. Instead, Zulfiqar suggests checking out some silver miners, who profit as the price of each ounce of the metal moves higher.
The ones he highlights “produce an ounce of silver for a relatively low cash cost,” and he says returns could be massive this year and next. Fortuna Silver Mines, Avino Silver & Gold Mines First Majestic Silver and Hecla Mining are all among his picks. Avino, First Majestic and Hecla Mining each produced an ounce of silver at a cash cost of $5 in the first quarter of this year. Mac apple for mac. Fortuna produced at $1.44 an ounce. Check out the whole blog. Also: The chart In case you haven’t noticed, European bond yields have been lately, with a wave of them Tuesday.
Leading the pack was the German 10-year bund yield, which dropped to all-time lows earlier Wednesday before recovering some ground. That comes just as the ECB is with new money. Thank bond buying from central banks and negative interest rates for pushing on that yield.
Vincent Juvyns, global market strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, told The Wall Street Journal that a bund yielding zero — or just below that — is likely in the coming weeks.
That could keep up the push toward U.S. Here’s a look at what the German bund has been doing this year. Hard shell cover for macbook pro. MarketWatch How low can they go? The buzz Lululemon is off about 1.7% in premarket after the yoga-wear maker said revenue, but gave a soft outlook.